India’s External Debt 2024: Trends, Ratios, and Insights from the Latest World Bank Data

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Written By pyuncut

 

Executive snapshot (2023)

  • Total external debt: $646.8B (up ~51% vs 2013; ~4.2% CAGR).
  • Long-term / Short-term: $498.3B LT, $126.3B ST (2023).
  • Public & publicly guaranteed (PPG): $214.9B; Private non-guaranteed: $283.3B.
  • Use of IMF credit & SDR allocations: $22.2B (post-2021 spike sustained).
  • Debt/GNI: 18.4% (down from 23.3% in 2013).
  • Reserves/External debt: 96.2% (near 1:1 coverage).
  • Debt/Exports & Debt-service/Exports: 79.7% and 10.1%, respectively.

 

India’s External Debt, 2013–2023: What the 2024 IDS Tables Tell Us

A data-backed deep dive using World Bank International Debt Statistics (last updated Feb 26, 2025). Compiled August 27, 2025.

Total External Debt (2023)
$646.8B
Debt/GNI (2023)
18.4%
Reserves / External Debt (2023)
96.2%
PPG vs PNG (2023)
$214.9B vs $283.3B
TL;DR — buffers improved even as debt rose. Debt grew ~51% since 2013, but the economy grew faster and reserves stayed strong, keeping Debt/GNI and reserves coverage at comfortable levels.

1) Levels and Composition

India’s total external debt increased from $427.2B (2013) to $646.8B (2023). Long‑term debt drove most of the rise (to $498.3B), while short‑term debt reached $126.3B. The short-term share hovered in the high teens to ~20%.

Figure 1. External debt stocks (2013–2023)
Line chart of India external debt stocks 2013-2023

2) Who Owes It? (Debtor Type)

Public & publicly guaranteed (PPG) debt rose faster—$121.5B → $214.9B—than private non‑guaranteed debt ($207.0B → $283.3B). This points to a gradually larger sovereign/PPG footprint within external liabilities.

Figure 2. PPG vs. Private non‑guaranteed (PNG) debt

Line chart of PPG vs private non-guaranteed external debt

3) Sustainability Signals

Debt/GNI fell from 23.3% to 18.4% in 2023. Reserves/External Debt is near parity (96.2%), after >100% around 2020–2021. Debt/Exports cooled to ~80% in 2023 from the 2020 spike, while Debt‑service/Exports sits ~10%.

Figure 3. Debt/GNI and Reserves/External Debt

Line chart of Debt to GNI and Reserves to External Debt

Figure 4. Debt/Exports and Debt‑service/Exports

Line chart of trade-linked debt burden ratios

Figure 5. Short‑term debt as % of total

Line chart of short-term debt share

Interpretation: healthy buffers + moderate short-term share = manageable rollover risk, but global liquidity still matters.

4) IMF & SDR: The 2021 Step-up

Use of IMF credit and SDR allocations jumped to $23.2B in 2021 and remains around $22.2B (2023). This is a compositional step‑change rather than a temporary blip.

5) Equity Flows: FDI Resilience vs. Portfolio Swings

FDI stayed robust through the decade (2020 high: $59.5B), while portfolio equity swung negative in 2018 and 2022 before a 2023 rebound.

Figure 6. FDI vs. Portfolio equity (2013–2023)

Line chart of FDI and Portfolio equity flows

Risks & Watch‑items for 2025

  • Global rates & liquidity: Monitoring Debt‑service/Exports and the short‑term share of debt is key.
  • External buffers: Maintaining high reserves vs. external debt underpins resilience.
  • PPG project quality: Faster PPG growth emphasizes execution discipline and productivity of borrowed funds.

Data Tables

Table A. Key aggregates (USD millions)
Year Total External Debt (USD mn) Long-term Debt (USD mn) Short-term Debt (USD mn) Use of IMF Credit & SDR (USD mn) PPG External Debt (USD mn) Private Non-Guaranteed (USD mn)
2013 427245.1 328412.5 92706.1 6126.5 121461.8 206950.7
2014 457507.4 366169.3 85574.3 5763.7 152515.2 213654.2
2015 478831.0 391755.4 81562.8 5512.8 162310.9 229444.5
2016 455541.9 366260.9 83932.9 5348.1 153013.3 213247.6
2017 511575.7 408301.5 97608.6 5665.6 183017.5 225284.0
2018 521175.7 411718.8 103923.9 5532.9 180540.0 231178.9
2019 561017.4 448736.6 106779.5 5501.2 192007.5 256729.1
2020 564979.3 455716.5 103533.1 5729.8 192805.1 262911.4
2021 611987.2 474183.4 114643.5 23160.2 205281.7 268901.7
2022 615516.0 465622.6 127870.9 22022.6 205218.3 260404.3
2023 646787.1 498265.2 126320.1 22201.7 214915.7 283349.6
Table B. Debt ratios (%)
Year Debt to GNI (%) Debt to Exports (%) Debt Service to Exports (%) Short-term / Total Debt (%) Multilateral / Total Debt (%) Reserves / External Debt (%)
2013 23.3 89.1 8.1 21.7 11.9 69.3
2014 22.7 91.8 18.6 18.7 11.1 70.6
2015 23.0 108.0 11.2 17.0 10.5 73.4
2016 20.1 102.2 17.3 18.4 11.2 79.0
2017 19.5 100.7 10.1 19.1 10.4 80.1
2018 19.5 93.3 11.4 19.9 10.4 76.0
2019 20.0 98.5 9.0 19.0 10.1 82.0
2020 21.4 111.4 15.1 18.3 11.4 103.7
2021 19.6 91.8 7.8 18.7 11.1 103.6
2022 18.6 77.4 8.3 20.8 11.4 91.4
2023 18.4 79.7 10.1 19.5 11.4 96.2
Table C. Equity inflows (USD millions)
Year FDI (USD mn) Portfolio Equity (USD mn)
2013 26712.7 19891.6
2014 32353.8 12369.3
2015 39662.7 1932.6
2016 41986.9 2336.7
2017 37097.6 5928.1
2018 39234.1 -4361.0
2019 43135.7 13768.5
2020 59495.8 24854.1
2021 41121.4 5223.3
2022 47078.2 -16572.1
2023 25519.8 21427.1

Notes: PPG excludes Use of IMF credit & SDR allocations. Values are in USD millions.

Source: World Bank, International Debt Statistics (IDS), Country Tables: India (last updated Feb 26, 2025).

 

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